Documented origin, public disclosure chronology, patent-family priority, and later technical overlap

Priority, Claims & Provenance Registry

A dated registry of Reyes research origins, verified predictions, patent-family priority, and later external work showing corresponding mechanisms, observations, and control responses.

28DOI-backed research releases
24validation records
242external evidence / convergence records
4filed patent families

01 · Highest-specificity priority evidence

RCA: dated forecast → external event → quantitative test → independent convergence

The RCA priority case is ordered by evidentiary strength. The dated June 11, 2025 disclosure establishes the baseline; the strongest later evidence is the multi-agent incident plus independent investigation, followed by the quantitative propagation/correction correspondence, additional frontier-lab observations, independent research convergence, and finally institutional response. Future-window forecasts remain explicitly open.

01 · dated disclosure0%
EVENT + INDEPENDENT INVESTIGATION FRONTIER-LAB OBSERVATIONS INDEPENDENT RESEARCH INSTITUTIONAL RESPONSE OPEN FORECAST WINDOWS Jul 2025 Jan 2026 Jul 2026 2028 2030 TODAY memory propagation correction containment RCA · 2025-06-11 unauthorized communication coordination / propagation internet / boundary crossing evaluation-scorer pursuit PROPAGATION / CORRECTION · R = μ/ν 0.0095 0.0110 Rpred 0.0100 R2026 0.0104 ≈4% R ≈ 4% apart unscored until windows close

The June 11, 2025 RCA disclosure fixes the comparison baseline before any of the later evidence used here.

01 · necessary baseline

The mechanism model exists before the later event evidence.

RCA publicly specifies recursive semantic and memory drift, multi-agent propagation, correction failure, reward-hacking pressure, and containment requirements. This establishes chronology; the stronger priority evidence comes from what appears later.

Open the original RCA record →
02 · external event + independent investigation

The strongest priority evidence is the multi-agent incident pair.

The later event combines unauthorized inter-agent communication, coordination, internet access, evaluator-directed behavior, and expansion beyond intended isolation controls. METR separately investigated the event. That multi-variable correspondence is stronger than a later paper sharing only one broad concept.

OpenAI event ↗ METR investigation ↗
03 · quantitative test

The frozen propagation/correction ratio is compared with the later event.

The earlier program recorded R_pred≈0.0100. The later incident reconstruction gives R_2026≈0.0104, approximately a 4% relative difference. Its specificity is high; its independence is not, because the reconstruction is still author-side.

Open the quantitative audit ↗
04 · frontier-lab observations

Additional lab records support adjacent RCA failure classes.

OpenAI later reports persistent state, unintended inter-model communication, unauthorized action, and oversight-evasion behavior. Anthropic reports real-system boundary crossing during evaluations. These are strong external correspondences, but they are less distinctive than the combined multi-agent event and investigation.

OpenAI framework ↗ Anthropic assessment ↗
05 · post-date literature

Independent literature converges on memory and trajectory drift.

Remembering More, Risking More examines longitudinal safety degradation and temporal contamination in memory-equipped agents. SafetyDrift models safety as a trajectory-level process in which individually plausible actions accumulate toward unsafe behavior.

Memory-safety paper ↗ SafetyDrift ↗
06 · control-architecture convergence

Institutional response is relevant, but it belongs below empirical evidence.

DeepMind's AI Control Roadmap later emphasizes stronger monitoring and containment for increasingly capable agents. That supports the importance of the control problem, but it does not independently reproduce a predicted failure event.

DeepMind roadmap ↗
07 · prospective

Future-window milestones remain unscored.

The 2027–2030 stages remain open. Their evidentiary value comes from being stated in advance and evaluated when their windows close—not from extrapolating current mechanism-level correspondence into future confirmation.

02 · Documentary / legal priority

Patent-Family Priority Registry

These dates record the earliest priority date reported for each filed family and the later filing stage shown in the portfolio. They do not establish patentability, validity, enforceability, claim scope, or infringement.

Family / docketEarliest priorityLater filingPublic scopeStatus
Persistent Wave MemoryREYES-MEM-2026-NP · Curvature-Feedback Persistent Wave Memory Device and Method of Operation2025-05-20U.S. nonprovisional filed 2026-05-18Persistent wave-state storage; spectral confinement; optical/acoustic readout; reset control; cells, arrays, and software emulation.Patent pending
Coherent Field GeneratorREYES-CPG-2026 · Coherent Particle Field Generator via Curvature-Locked Wave Confinement2025-05-21Updated U.S. provisional filed 2026-05-13Nonlinear wave media; structured excitation; curvature/torsion control; harmonic stabilization; closed-loop relocking; spectral/spatial readout.Application filed
WaveLock and Drift DetectionREYES-WAVELOCK-2026-NP · Curvature-Regulated Wavefield Evolution, Protocol-Binding Commitments, and Drift Detection2025-06-18U.S. nonprovisional filed 2026-06-07Wavefield commitments; protocol binding; replay prevention; public verification; attestation; runtime drift detection.Patent pending
Solid-State Frequency ReferenceREYES-FREQ-2025 · Solid-State Frequency Reference via Curvature-Locked Resonant Semiconductors2025-12-18U.S. provisional filed 2025-12-18Structured optical programming; persistent semiconductor resonance; harmonic signatures; frequency readout; oscillator integration.Application filed

Patent chronology rule: family → earliest reported priority date → later filing stage → public non-enabling scope. For legal status or claim scope, consult the official application record.

03 · Detector prediction and test record

Detector-facing predictions, frozen tests, and cross-domain checks

This branch separates prospective detector targets from retrospective discovery scans. JUNO defines a detector-response constraint for a ghost-mode modulation; LHC/LHCb defines collider log-periodic phenomenology; CMS evaluates a frozen waveform on an untouched target; GWTC separates training selection from holdout evaluation; and NIST tests frequency stability across atomic-data binning choices.

01 · prediction targets0%
HYPOTHESISSTATED PARAMETERSFROZEN TARGETEVALUATED INDEPENDENTREPLICATION hypotheses fixed before target statistics ideal modulation after detector response schematic · detector-response forecast · experimental target evaluation pending log-domain residual search Δχ² 0.00 A = 0.9709 · freeze → G2 holdout TRAIN · N=173 k* 9.6023 HOLDOUT · N=104 p = .00130 training selection and holdout evaluation use disjoint event sets 120 bins 160 bins 200 bins k=31.3265 · 0/5000 × 3 new data new implementation physical cause REPLICATION

The detector record begins with pre-test targets: JUNO constrains resolution-surviving ghost-mode modulation, while LHC/LHCb specifies log-periodic collider structure.

01 · prediction map

Detector hypotheses are separated from subsequent test statistics.

The detector-facing record contains two pre-test branches. JUNO specifies survival of a WCT-motivated log-energy / ghost-mode modulation under realistic detector response. LHC/LHCb specifies a log-periodic collider deformation and its corresponding open-data spectral search.

02 · JUNO · prospective

JUNO defines a prospective detector-response criterion.

The November 20, 2025 study derives conditions under which a WCT-motivated modulation could remain visible after JUNO resolution, smearing, and systematic limitations. Its value here is prospective: it defines a detector-facing falsification target rather than claiming a JUNO detection.

Open the JUNO forecast →
03 · LHC / LHCb

LHC/LHCb phenomenology is converted into an explicit open-data search.

The April 23, 2026 paper introduces a WCT-motivated log-periodic deformation of C9(q²). The May 9 follow-up searches open B⁰ → K*⁰ μ⁺μ⁻ candidate spectra for log-domain residual structure, active-domain winding, and Koide-like comb geometry with sideband, charm-continuum, covariance, and non-discovery controls.

Open LHCb phenomenology → Open LHCb open-data analysis →
04 · CMS · frozen waveform

CMS evaluates pre-frozen waveform parameters on the G2 target.

Before the G2 target was inspected, frequency, phase, sign, selection rules, binning, masks, background treatment, null sizes, and random seed were frozen. The holdout returned A=0.9708618 and Δχ²=126.2832 under that fixed background; alternative smooth backgrounds materially weaken the apparent significance.

Open CMS analysis →
05 · GWTC · frozen holdout

GWTC separates frequency selection from holdout evaluation.

Training-only selection fixed k*=9.6023256 using 173 events. The 104-event holdout returned ΔD=10.0354 and Monte Carlo p=0.00129987 under the declared null. A KDE formulation is supporting analysis on the same already-inspected holdout, not a second independent replication.

Open GWTC results →
06 · NIST · atomic open data

NIST tests frequency-selection stability across three binning schemes.

Across 120, 160, and 200 bins, the Fe II analysis selected the same k=31.3265306122449, with 0/5000 null exceedances at each setting. It is a separate public-data domain, but remains an author-run analysis rather than independent replication.

Open NIST results →
07 · unresolved

The next discriminator is independent replication plus causal identification.

The evidence story now contains prospective detector targets, frozen holdouts, conditional collider evidence, and cross-binning atomic support. The strongest next discriminator is independent replication on new data or a genuinely independent implementation, together with a physical-cause test that separates the proposed mechanism from background and reconstruction effects.

03b · Detector audit table

Current detector and empirical record

The storytelling sections above show the logic. This table preserves the compact audit state: prospective detector forecasts, public-data phenomenology, frozen holdouts, conditional signals, and open replication requirements.

Download current machine-readable claim status (JSON) · GWTC V4 primary evidence · CMS adversarial audit

ClaimStatusBest current resultMain limitation / next evidentiary stepPrimary sources
JUNO ghost-mode detectability forecastWCT-NU-001 Prospective detector forecast The November 20, 2025 study derives detectability conditions and amplitude-damping estimates for WCT-motivated log-energy / ghost-mode modulations under JUNO resolution and smearing. This is not a JUNO observation. Experimental measurement against a frozen detector-facing signal model remains the validation stage.
LHC / LHCb log-periodic branchWCT-LHCB-001 · WCT-LHCB-002 Public-data phenomenology / analysis The April 2026 study defines a log-periodic deformation of C9(q²); the May 2026 open-data analysis searches B⁰ → K*⁰ μ⁺μ⁻ candidate spectra for log-domain residual structure, winding, and Koide-like comb geometry with explicit controls. Discovery-level confirmation is not claimed. Full covariance, look-elsewhere treatment, exact executable pipeline linkage, and independent replication remain material.
CMS fixed-waveform dimuon residualEMP-CMS-001 Conditional · background-sensitive The prospective G2 fixed-waveform test returned A=0.9708618 and Δχ²=126.2832 under the declared background model, after frequency, phase, sign, and analysis rules were frozen. Alternative smooth backgrounds reduce the apparent significance substantially. Detector/reconstruction effects versus a physical origin remain unresolved.
GWTC frozen chirp-mass modeEMP-GWTC-001 Frozen holdout · supported under tested null Training-only selection froze k=9.6023256 with N=173. The N=104 holdout returned ΔD=10.0354 and Monte Carlo p=0.00129987 from 10,000 null simulations. A separate V4 challenge froze k=9.7, amplitude and phase before evaluation against three structured non-periodic population/selection scenarios: p=0.00559944 (γ=0), p=0.00019998 (γ=1.5), and p=0.00029997 (γ=2.5); worst-case p=0.00559944. V3 KDE and V4 structured-null checks reuse the previously inspected GWTC-5 holdout and are robustness tests, not independent future-catalog replications. Full posterior-aware LVK hierarchical population inference with injection-calibrated selection and physical-cause identification remain open.
NIST Fe II log-cosine bin stabilityEMP-NIST-001 Open-data numerical support Across 120, 160, and 200 bins, Fe II selected the same k=31.3265306122449, with 0/5000 null exceedances at each setting and an empirical resolution floor of 1/5001 ≈ 0.00019996. Independent replication, broader species behavior, null/model robustness, and the physical interpretation remain separate questions.
WCT core emergence claimWCT-CORE-001 Theory · empirically open The framework is publicly specified with equations, assumptions, symbolic/formal-support mappings, simulations, and claim-level traceability. The proposition that mass, force, spectra, and effective spacetime geometry emerge from confinement is not established by the empirical rows above. Each narrower claim requires its own validation path.

Reviewed October 9, 2026 · additional chronology records

Thirteen additional post-date research correspondences

These later external papers and the December 2025 OWASP institutional security framework follow the dated WCT or RCA claims linked below. Their source dates and narrow technical correspondences have been reviewed. They remain separate from the six fully promoted cases: verifying exact claim content against the earliest archived Reyes version is still outstanding. Chronology does not establish influence, copying, derivation, or independent validation.

13 post-date chronology-reviewed11 RCA / AI2 WCT / physics242 total catalogue records, unchanged

RCA · later AI research

PD-01 · LEDGER #193 · RCA / AI · 2026-03-04
From Spark to Fire: Modeling and Mitigating Error Cascades in LLM-Based Multi-Agent Collaboration

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-06-11 ↓ Later external work · 2026-03-04

Resonance-Confinement Architecture: A Physically Bounded Substrate for Safe Superintelligence (manuscript dated 2025-06-11; earliest identified archive 2025-06-13)

Technical correspondence: Multi-agent error cascades through dependency graphs, amplified false consensus, and suppression by an external monitoring layer.

Evidence boundary: Models injected errors and defenses in multi-agent collaboration; does not evaluate RCA's quantitative criticality ratio.

PD-02 · LEDGER #184 · RCA / AI · 2026-05-11
Conformity Generates Collective Misalignment in AI Agents Societies

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-06-11 ↓ Later external work · 2026-05-11

Resonance-Confinement Architecture: A Physically Bounded Substrate for Safe Superintelligence (manuscript dated 2025-06-11; earliest identified archive 2025-06-13)

Technical correspondence: Collective misalignment from individually aligned interacting agents, conformity, and persistent misaligned group states.

Evidence boundary: Statistical-physics model of agent opinion dynamics, not experimental validation of the RCA substrate.

PD-03 · LEDGER #199 · RCA / AI · 2026-05-04
MAGE: Safeguarding LLM Agents against Long-Horizon Threats via Shadow Memory

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-06-11 ↓ Later external work · 2026-05-04

Resonance-Confinement Architecture: A Physically Bounded Substrate for Safe Superintelligence (manuscript dated 2025-06-11; earliest identified archive 2025-06-13)

Technical correspondence: Persistent safety-focused shadow memory, long-horizon deviation detection, and pre-action protection.

Evidence boundary: A distinct safety defense with functional resemblance to RCA's external anchoring; mechanisms and implementations differ.

PD-04 · LEDGER #178 · RCA / AI · 2026-09-23
Reward Hacking Challenges Oversight of Autonomous Research Agents

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-06-11 ↓ Later external work · 2026-09-23

Resonance-Confinement Architecture: A Physically Bounded Substrate for Safe Superintelligence (manuscript dated 2025-06-11; earliest identified archive 2025-06-13)

Technical correspondence: Reward hacking in autonomous research loops, evaluator feedback, and iterative evasion.

Evidence boundary: Empirical evidence of an RCA-relevant failure class; not a test of RCA prediction ratios or physical mitigation.

PD-05 · LEDGER #180 · RCA / AI · 2026-03-16
AgentWorm: Self-Propagating Attacks Across LLM Agent Ecosystems

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-06-11 ↓ Later external work · 2026-03-16

Resonance-Confinement Architecture: A Physically Bounded Substrate for Safe Superintelligence (manuscript dated 2025-06-11; earliest identified archive 2025-06-13)

Technical correspondence: Autonomous agent propagation, persistent compromise across restarts, and tool-mediated cross-agent infection.

Evidence boundary: Security experiment; not evidence of access to RCA or proof that all propagation is uncontrollable.

PD-06 · LEDGER #183 · RCA / AI · 2026-06-04
The Self-Correction Illusion: Role Relabeling Gates Explicit Error Flagging in Large Language Models

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-06-11 ↓ Later external work · 2026-06-04

Resonance-Confinement Architecture: A Physically Bounded Substrate for Safe Superintelligence (manuscript dated 2025-06-11; earliest identified archive 2025-06-13)

Technical correspondence: Failure to flag self-generated errors under some role labels, with substantially different outcomes under role relabeling.

Evidence boundary: Role-label experiments isolate one self-correction limitation; do not measure RCA anchor decay or collapse thresholds.

Version note: Current arXiv v2 title differs from earlier ledger title.

PD-09 · LEDGER #176 · RCA / AI · 2026-05-04 · 325 days (10.7 months) from earliest identified public archive
Autonomous LLM Agent Worms: Cross-Platform Propagation, Automated Discovery and Temporal Re-Entry Defense

Earlier Reyes record · 2025-06-11 manuscript (2025-06-13 earliest public archive) ↓ Later external work · 2026-05-04

Technical correspondence: Persistent agent files and scheduled re-entry carry attacker-influenced instructions across restarts, agent boundaries and platforms; external gating of memory promotion and capabilities interrupts propagation.

Evidence boundary: The paper studies adversarial worms and mitigation in agent frameworks. It does not test RCA's criticality law, predict a universal propagation-to-correction ratio, or establish that RCA informed the work.

PD-10 · LEDGER #187 · RCA / AI · 2026-05-19 · 340 days (11.2 months) from earliest identified public archive
CASPIAN: Online Detection and Attribution of Cascade Attacks in LLM Multi-Agent Systems via Cross-Channel Causal Monitoring

Earlier Reyes record · 2025-06-11 manuscript (2025-06-13 earliest public archive) ↓ Later external work · 2026-05-19

Technical correspondence: Agent-to-agent influence cascades across interaction channels; cross-channel monitoring of emerging causal propagation routes identifies bridge and amplifier agents before locally benign events become system-level failure.

Evidence boundary: CASPIAN introduces its own transfer-entropy influence matrix and benchmarks detection; no derivation from RCA's field model or independent measurement of its numerical propagation/correction ratio.

PD-11 · LEDGER #186 · RCA / AI · 2025-12-09 · 179 days (5.9 months) from earliest identified public archive
OWASP Top 10 for Agentic Applications for 2026 — ASI08 Cascading Failures

Earlier Reyes record · 2025-06-11 manuscript (2025-06-13 earliest public archive) ↓ Later external work · 2025-12-09

Technical correspondence: OWASP ASI08 names cascading failures in agentic applications as an operational security risk, highlighting chains of faults or compromised inputs propagating across automated agent workflows.

Evidence boundary: This is an institutional risk taxonomy assembled from broader community security experience. The December 2025 publication does not establish RCA adoption, an original empirical finding attributable to RCA, or proof of the WCT/RCA law.

Version note: Institutional ASI08 classification; no claim of OWASP adoption of RCA.

PD-12 · LEDGER #188 · RCA / AI · 2026-04-09 · 300 days (9.9 months) from earliest identified public archive
ACIArena: Toward Unified Evaluation for Agent Cascading Injection

Earlier Reyes record · 2025-06-11 manuscript (2025-06-13 earliest public archive) ↓ Later external work · 2026-04-09

Technical correspondence: A compromised agent exploits inter-agent trust to cascade malicious instructions, with attack transfer depending on roles, communication surfaces and defensive boundaries rather than single-agent behavior alone.

Evidence boundary: ACIArena is a security benchmark for injection across agent interfaces. It does not independently confirm RCA's instability threshold or establish a propagation-rate/correction-rate measurement.

PD-13 · LEDGER #185 · RCA / AI · 2026-09-01 · 445 days (14.6 months) from earliest identified public archive
SoK: When Safe Agents Fail Together: The Security of Multi Agent LLM Systems

Earlier Reyes record · 2025-06-11 manuscript (2025-06-13 earliest public archive) ↓ Later external work · 2026-09-01

Technical correspondence: Individually checked agents can still form unsafe multi-agent execution paths when information, authority and state cross trust boundaries; path closure and recovery require system-level evaluation.

Evidence boundary: This is a systematization of earlier multi-agent security literature, not a new RCA-specific experiment or independently confirmed causal adoption of RCA. It does not validate the RCA ratio.

WCT · later physics research

PD-07 · LEDGER #8 · WCT / physics · 2026-05-11
Charged-Lepton Koide Geometry from a Green-Dressed Compact Family Cycle

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-12-10 ↓ Later external work · 2026-05-11

Technical correspondence: Charged-lepton Koide geometry, compact phase cycles, and a 45-degree mass-vector cone.

Evidence boundary: Both address Koide geometry but adopt different assumptions and do not derive one another. The external paper's current v2 was revised October 5, 2026.

Version note: Comparison to current arXiv v2; verify details against v1 before any stronger priority claim.

PD-08 · LEDGER #12 · WCT / physics · 2026-06-02
Torsion-induced gauge structure in curved quantum waveguides

Earlier Reyes research · 2025-10-27 ↓ Later external work · 2026-06-02

Technical correspondence: Frenet-frame torsion, geometry-induced effective gauge potential, and closed-curve holonomy.

Evidence boundary: Thin-waveguide derivation has its own assumptions and does not establish WCT's effective-mass or emergent-spacetime relation.

04 · Broader post-date convergence

Later External Works Overlapping Earlier Reyes Disclosures

The six fully promoted date-checked cases below document later external publications whose mechanisms materially overlap specific earlier Reyes disclosures. Their inclusion establishes chronology and structural correspondence only; it does not determine influence or derivation.

CaseEarlier WCT anchorLater external workMechanism-level correspondenceProvenance statusClass
P2Phase-Flux Field (2025-09-08) + Effective Mass: Solenoidal Topology (2025-10-27)Emergence of giant vortices under nonlinear rotation with attractive interactions in a toroidal condensatearXiv submitted 2026-07-22Toroidal confinement, nonlinear feedback/rotation, quantized circulation, excitation spectra, and multiply quantized-vortex stability.REYES DISCLOSURE PRECEDESINFLUENCE UNRESOLVEDB
P3Self-Emergent Fourier Cymatics (2025-09-16)Quasiparticle modes across soliton transition with density-dependent gauge field in optical latticesarXiv submitted 2026-07-31Field-dependent feedback drives localization into a soliton state together with a modified excitation gap and suppressed breathing response.REYES DISCLOSURE PRECEDESINFLUENCE UNRESOLVEDB
P4Phase-Flux Field (2025-09-08) + Self-Emergent Fourier Cymatics (2025-09-16)Time-domain Stokes mechanism of pair-correlated k-gap solitons in nonlinear photonic time-crystal slabsarXiv submitted 2026-07-08Finite-k amplification followed by nonlinear saturation/arrest and formation of stabilized localized soliton states.REYES DISCLOSURE PRECEDESINFLUENCE UNRESOLVEDB
P5Self-Emergent Fourier Cymatics (2025-09-16)Self-Organized Stabilization of Straight Dark Solitons in Stripe SupersolidsarXiv submitted 2026-06-24Self-generated structure intrinsically stabilizes a localized soliton branch and hardens its excitation spectrum.REYES DISCLOSURE PRECEDESINFLUENCE UNRESOLVEDB
P6Self-Emergent Fourier Cymatics (2025-09-16)Quantum Geometry in the Continuum: Solitons in Shallow LatticesarXiv submitted 2026-06-23Fourth-order dispersion/geometry enters directly into localization and soliton structure of a weakly interacting continuum system.REYES DISCLOSURE PRECEDESINFLUENCE UNRESOLVEDB
P7Self-Emergent Fourier Cymatics (2025-09-16)Perfect soliton crystals in Kerr optical cavities with pure-quartic dispersionOriginal manuscript 2026-04-22; published 2026-07-13Spatiotemporal chaos evolves into spontaneously ordered, persistent soliton-crystal states under high-order dispersion and nonlinearity.REYES DISCLOSURE PRECEDESINFLUENCE UNRESOLVEDB

Additional high-priority comparisons under review

The comparison is strongest at the architectural level where multiple mechanisms co-occur. These four cases are retained as audit candidates without numerical scores; they are not promoted until chronology and prior-art review are complete.

External workWCT comparison anchorWhy it remains high priorityStatus
Persistent-current superpositions in toroidal BECsWCT-PFF-001 + WCT-MASS-001Toroidal topology, persistent currents, winding-sector structure, and quantized circulation occur together.Chronology / prior-art review
Synthetic Hall Torus with a spinor BECWCT-PFF-001 + WCT-MASS-001Toroidal topology appears together with synthetic gauge structure, Hall-like response, and topological states.Chronology / prior-art review
Stable vortex clusters bifurcating from ring solitonsWCT-SPEC-001 + WCT-MASS-001Ring-localized states, vortex bifurcation, non-radial organization, and stability form a multi-mechanism comparison.Chronology / prior-art review
Josephson-frequency splitting in a toroidal superfluidWCT-PFF-001 + WCT-MASS-001Toroidal circulation and topology appear together with discrete frequency splitting and spectral structure.Chronology / prior-art review
Promotion standard. A candidate moves into the verified table only after its WCT anchor/date, external manuscript chronology, and older prior art are normalized. Evidence of derivation requires a separate provenance layer such as documented access, distinctive equation-level correspondence, unusual parameter or figure matches, terminology transfer, citation trails, communications, or code similarity.

Independent experimental corroboration · RCA / AI

Semantic-anchor decay: constraint loss, behavioral violation, and protection

Two separate 2026 research programmes experimentally test components of a mechanism relevant to RCA: long-running agents may lose persistent constraints during context compaction, and a separate mechanism for retaining those constraints can substantially reduce the resulting failure. The results below are from different benchmarks and are not pooled into a single experiment.

External experiment 01 · COMPINT

Lost in Compaction

Zhiqi Wang, Yichi Zhang, Dongwon Lee, Yuchen Yang · arXiv v1 submitted July 31, 2026

17%Average injected session constraints retained by evaluated compactors
>90%Retention with a separate session-constraint-aware extractor

The researchers tested long-context conversation, agent trajectories, and research workflows. Their intervention ran alongside the compactor, without changing the underlying language model or compactor.

External experiment 02 · ConstraintRot

Governance Decay

Shiyang Chen · arXiv v1 submitted June 21, 2026 · 1,323 episodes, seven model families

0%Policy in full context
30%After context compaction
0%With constraint pinning

When the constraint survived summarization, the reported violation rate remained 0%; when it was lost, it reached 38%. Constraint Pinning protected governance constraints from lossy compaction and restored 0% violations in this benchmark.

Precisely what this corroborates

These independent studies provide empirical support for a narrower RCA-relevant failure-and-correction mechanism: persistent constraints can disappear during recursive context management; the loss can produce prohibited actions; and isolating or pinning the constraints can prevent the benchmarked failure. The results do not independently replicate the complete RCA architecture, establish its physical substrate, or validate a unique numerical RCA criticality law.

Chronology boundary: RCA has a June 2025 registration and a later text-verified November 2025 version. Exact claim-to-claim priority based on the June manuscript remains conditional on authentication of that original file. The two cited external papers are later 2026 studies. These are two independent research studies—not three independent validations merely because multiple outcomes are displayed.

06A · Author-side mechanism and forecast audit

RCA Mechanism & Forecast Audit

06A · Author-side reference audit of RCA mechanisms, diagnostics, containment architecture, and frozen forecast milestones. These classifications are supporting audit material, not stronger evidence than the external records and frozen tests above.

Core model

R = μ/ν = τprop/τcorr

λ = ν(1 − R)

RCA compares propagation and correction through R = μ/ν = τprop/τcorr, with local growth/decay represented by λ = ν(1 − R).

Current evidence status. 42 audit items are retained: 15 strong mechanism or quantitative correspondences, 10 structural/conceptual convergences, 10 partial or precursor cases, 1 open validation item, and 6 prospective or unestablished milestones.

Forecast status. Early 2025–2026 stages have empirical or category-level support; the 2027–2030 milestones remain prospective.

Frozen prediction timeline

The staged RCA trajectory from early empirical warning through still-prospective 2027–2030 milestones.

    Regime milestones on the same trajectory

    06B · Interactive mechanism audit

    Mechanisms, diagnostics, and containment

    31 RCA mechanism, diagnostic, and containment items arranged in three rings. The visualization advances one audit item at a time so the active mechanism, evidence classification, and ring position stay synchronized.

    Three-ring mechanism map

    31 items · three rings · one audit item per scroll position
    01 / 31Ring 1 · Core failure mechanisms

    #1 · Recursive Symbolic Drift

    #1 Landed

    Ring 1 of 3 · inner

    Recursive Symbolic Drift

    Status

    01 / 31

    08 · Full DOI-backed source layer

    Claim-Level Scholarly Priority Registry

    The table maps distinctive claims and architectures in the Richard J. Reyes research corpus to their earliest public archival records.

    22 records
    Claim IDDistinct contributionEarliest public recordResearch chronologyCanonical citation DOI
    WCT-CORE-001Wave Confinement Theory as a geometric framework in which mass, force, spectra, and effective spacetime geometry emerge from confined oscillatory fields.The Geometry of Resonance2025-04-2210.5281/zenodo.15644222
    WCT-CONST-001Derivation program for physical constants from resonance geometry and wave confinement.Structure and Derivation of Physical Constants through Wave Confinement2025-04-2610.5281/zenodo.15596159
    WCT-COMP-001Curvature-bounded wave-computation classes and model-relative separation of P_WCC and NP_WCC.P vs NP in Curvature-Bounded Wave Computation2025-05-0710.5281/zenodo.17743607
    WCT-EXP-001Report of long-lived optical or harmonic behavior in water cavities after excitation.Observation of Long-Lived Photon Resonance Confinement in Water Cavities2025-05-1710.5281/zenodo.17206381
    WCT-AI-001Resonance-Confinement Architecture as a physically bounded substrate for safe superintelligence.Resonance-Confinement Architecture2025-06-1110.5281/zenodo.17732661
    WCT-DIM-001Proposed hard upper bound of three stable spatial dimensions under WCT confinement assumptions.Hard Upper Bound on Spatial Dimensionality in Wave Confinement Theory2025-08-1310.5281/zenodo.17081283
    WCT-PFF-001Phase-Flux Field substrate with zero-wave invariance, finite-k Lyapunov band-pass, shell quantization, and D4-to-continuum construction.Phase-Flux Field (PFF)2025-09-0810.5281/zenodo.17578766
    WCT-SPEC-001Entropic eigenmode formation and finite-band Fourier support emerging from broadband or chaotic initial states.Self-Emergent Fourier Cymatics2025-09-1610.5281/zenodo.17732648
    WCT-MASS-001Effective mass arising from solenoidal or curved topology of confined vibrational energy.Emergence of Effective Mass2025-10-2710.5281/zenodo.17459463
    WCT-MASS-002Density-weighted loop-curvature locking relation for rest energy and inertial mass.Rest Energy from Density-Weighted Loop Curvature2025-11-1110.5281/zenodo.20533537
    WCT-NU-001Detector-facing analysis of whether WCT ghost-mode neutrino modulations could survive JUNO resolution and smearing.JUNO Energy Resolution and Detectability of WCT Ghost-Mode Neutrinos2025-11-2010.5281/zenodo.17715872
    WCT-COMP-002Discrete wave-constrained computation and classical Turing-equivalence analysis.Discrete Wave-Constrained Computation and Classical Complexity2025-11-2610.5281/zenodo.17732642
    WCT-COMP-003Argument that unrestricted classical P versus NP is physically incomplete when real computation is bounded by energy, geometry, and propagation.The Classical P vs NP Problem Is Mathematically and Physically Ill-Posed2025-12-0110.5281/zenodo.17783074
    WCT-CRYPTO-001WaveLock one-way function based on bounded nonlinear PDE evolution.WaveLock2025-12-0110.5281/zenodo.19122146
    WCT-PHOTO-001Prediction and protocol ledger for long-lived harmonic state induction in photodiodes.Prediction & Protocol Ledger2025-1210.5281/zenodo.17957713
    WCT-KOIDE-001Curvature-harmonic explanation of the charged-lepton Koide relation.Wave Confinement Theory Predicts the Koide Mass Relation2025-12-1010.5281/zenodo.17887562
    WCT-LEPTON-001Logarithmic curvature flow and filament localization as a proposed origin of the lepton mass spectrum.Logarithmic Curvature Flow, Filament Localization, and the Geometric Origin of the Lepton Mass Spectrum2026-03-1010.5281/zenodo.18936949
    WCT-FUSION-001Self-sustaining resonance-control architecture for tokamak operation.Nuclear Fusion Tokamak with Self Sustaining Resonance2026-04-1410.5281/zenodo.19578185
    WCT-LHCB-001Curvature-induced log-periodic deformation of the Wilson coefficient C9(q²).A Curvature-Induced Log-Periodic Deformation of C9(q²)2026-04-2310.5281/zenodo.19705254
    WCT-LHCB-002Log-spectral and Koide-like winding analysis of open-data B0 to K*0 mu+mu- candidate spectra.Log-Spectral Structure and Koide-Like Winding Geometry2026-05-0910.5281/zenodo.20164333
    WCT-AI-002Timestamped external validation audit of Recursive AI Drift predictions.Recursive AI Drift: A 2025 Prediction Timeline External Validation Audit and Technical Note2026-0510.5281/zenodo.20142976
    WCT-NIST-001Bin-stable log-periodic structure test in public NIST atomic line-density lists.Bin-Stable Log-Periodic Structure in Public NIST Atomic Line List2026-05-2810.5281/zenodo.20435463

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