DOI-archived release · 24
Log-Periodic Dimuon Residual in CMS Open Data: Cross-Period Replication and a Prospective Phase-Locked Holdout
Canonical provenance
Richard J. Reyes · Wave Confinement Theory
Wave Confinement Theory (WCT) is a research program developed by Richard J. Reyes beginning in 2025. This page documents Log-Periodic Dimuon Residual in CMS Open Data: Cross-Period Replication and a Prospective Phase-Locked Holdout, listed in the research chronology as , with canonical citation DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22257067 and source repository wct-cms. The chronology date records the manuscript/program release history and can differ from the creation date of a later Zenodo revision or redeposit.
- Researcher
- Richard J. Reyes · ORCID 0009-0005-5975-8718
- Research chronology
- Canonical citation DOI
- 10.5281/zenodo.22257067
- Zenodo record
- https://zenodo.org/records/22257067
- Source repository
- https://github.com/rickyjreyes/wct-cms
Abstract
CMS Run-2 dimuon residual: a frozen log-frequency selected in Run2016H reproduced across independent-file and cross-period tests; a prospective Run2016G G2 phase-locked holdout returned positive amplitude A=0.9708618 and Δχ²=126.2832 under the declared background procedure. An independent adversarial audit reproduced the locked score but found 359–442 exceedances per 1,000 trials under defensible alternative smooth-background generators. Recurrence under the historical pipeline is reproducible; model-robust discovery significance and physical attribution remain unresolved.
Plain-language overview
Research question
Does a fixed log-periodic dimuon residual recur across independent CMS Run-2 files and periods when frequency, phase, and sign are progressively frozen?
Main contribution
- Documents frozen-frequency independent-file and cross-period recurrence and the prospective G2 fixed-frequency, fixed-phase, positive-amplitude holdout (A=0.9708618; Δχ²=126.2832).
- Preserves the independent adversarial audit: alternative smooth-null generators yielded 359/1000 (degree-12 log-polynomial), 405/1000 (penalized spline), and 442/1000 (spline s=1) exceedances.
- Distinguishes conditional historical significance from model-robust significance, detector/systematic alternatives, and WCT attribution.
Evidence type
Current limitations
The recurring residual is reproducible under the declared pipeline, but several defensible smooth-background models generate comparable scores in 359–442 of 1,000 trials. Conversely, flexible backgrounds can also absorb injected signals; neither disappearance nor recurrence establishes the physical cause. No validated model-robust global p-value or WCT attribution is claimed.
Research assets
- Read & download
- Zenodo record (manuscript and files)
- Code & data
- wct-cms — source code and data
- Research program hub
- geometry_of_resonance — equations, manuscripts, and simulations
Related works
Verification and traceability
This section is generated from the canonical publication traceability registry. Empty fields are reported rather than inferred.
- Claim IDs
- Equation IDs
- SymPy audit
- Lean coverage
- Assumptions
- Formalization
- NOT_APPLICABLE
- Empirical state
- PROSPECTIVE_PUBLIC_DATA_HOLDOUT_WITH_BACKGROUND_SENSITIVITY
- Independent replication
- NONE_RECORDED
- Repositories
- Data
Explicit falsifiers
- The fixed waveform fails a preregistered unseen sample under an independently constrained detector/background model.
Open obligations
- Resolve background/signal identifiability, detector and efficiency systematics, and independent-detector replication.
Recommended citation
Reyes, R. J. (August 31, 2026). Log-Periodic Dimuon Residual in CMS Open Data: Cross-Period Replication and a Prospective Phase-Locked Holdout. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22257067
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Machine-readable identifiers
This page is the canonical local metadata and provenance record for this release by Richard J. Reyes. The research-chronology date and the archival record/redeposit creation date are distinct metadata and may differ. Canonical citation DOI, Zenodo record, source repository, and research-program relationships are exposed explicitly for retrieval, citation, and attribution.