DOI-archived release · 28

From Wave Confinement to Recursive AI Instability: A Propagation-Correction Criticality Law and Successful Prospective Prediction

Richard J. Reyes

Independent Researcher · September 14, 2026 · 10.5281/zenodo.22757003

CategoryAI architecture Research statusMathematical derivation

Canonical provenance

Richard J. Reyes · Wave Confinement Theory

Wave Confinement Theory (WCT) is a research program developed by Richard J. Reyes beginning in 2025. This page documents From Wave Confinement to Recursive AI Instability: A Propagation-Correction Criticality Law and Successful Prospective Prediction, listed in the research chronology as , with canonical citation DOI 10.5281/zenodo.22757003 and source repository geometry_of_resonance. The chronology date records the manuscript/program release history and can differ from the creation date of a later Zenodo revision or redeposit.

Researcher
Richard J. Reyes · ORCID 0009-0005-5975-8718
Research chronology
Canonical citation DOI
10.5281/zenodo.22757003
Zenodo record
https://zenodo.org/records/22757003
Source repository
https://github.com/rickyjreyes/geometry_of_resonance

Abstract

This work extends the RCA program with a propagation-versus-correction criticality law for recursive AI systems and audits a prospective quantitative prediction against a later observed incident.

Plain-language overview

Research question

Can recursive AI instability be characterized by a propagation-versus-correction criticality variable that supports prospective quantitative prediction?

Main contribution

  • Defines a propagation-correction criticality law for recursive AI dynamics.
  • Connects the model to a prospectively stated quantitative prediction and subsequent validation audit.

Evidence type

Mathematical derivationProspective prediction audit

Current limitations

The current evidence is limited to a small number of author-scored cases; broader preregistered benchmarks and independent evaluation are needed.

Research assets

Read & download
Zenodo record (manuscript and files)
Research program hub
geometry_of_resonance — equations, manuscripts, and simulations

Related works

Verification and traceability

This section is generated from the canonical publication traceability registry. Empty fields are reported rather than inferred.

Claim IDs
None registered
Equation IDs
None registered
SymPy audit
None registered
Lean coverage
None registered
Assumptions
None registered
Formalization
MATHEMATICAL_MODEL_AND_AUDIT
Empirical state
PROSPECTIVE_PREDICTION_AUDIT
Independent replication
NONE_RECORDED
Repositories

Explicit falsifiers

  • Prospective preregistered cases fail the propagation-correction forecast or conventional predictors explain outcomes equally or better.

Open obligations

  • Run preregistered multi-case benchmarks with frozen scoring, uncertainty, conventional baselines, and independent evaluation.

Recommended citation

Reyes, R. J. (September 14, 2026). From Wave Confinement to Recursive AI Instability: A Propagation-Correction Criticality Law and Successful Prospective Prediction. Zenodo. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22757003

Machine-readable identifiers

DOI
10.5281/zenodo.22757003
Zenodo
https://zenodo.org/records/22757003
Local metadata
https://rickyjreyes.github.io/publications/recursive-ai-propagation-correction-criticality.html
Author
ORCID 0009-0005-5975-8718

This page is the canonical local metadata and provenance record for this release by Richard J. Reyes. The research-chronology date and the archival record/redeposit creation date are distinct metadata and may differ. Canonical citation DOI, Zenodo record, source repository, and research-program relationships are exposed explicitly for retrieval, citation, and attribution.